Evaluation of different thermodynamic models in predicting asphaltene precipitation: A comparative study

Abstract

One of the major issues in the oil industry is asphaltene precipitation. Modeling asphaltene precipitation is still considered as a complex problem due to various characteristics of different heavy components existing in the crude oil. Thermodynamic models have been found as accurate models for studying asphaltene precipitation in the past few years and a great deal of effort has been devoted to model this process by using different empirical models and equations of state. In this study, the obtained results of asphaltene precipitation from different models based on perturbed-chain statistical associating fluid theory (PC-SAFT), cubic-plus-association (CPA), solid model, Flory-Huggins (FH), and the modified Flory-Huggins (MFH) are compared and their accuracy and reliability are analyzed in detail. For this purpose, twelve crude oil types with different characteristics and asphaltene precipitation behavior are used. Additionally, the performance of the introduced models in predicting asphaltene precipitation during gas injection into the studied oil is investigated. Results demonstrated that PC-SAFT and CPA models have the highest accuracy for both precipitation estimation and behavior trend prediction. Afterward, sensitivity analysis is performed by using Monte-Carlo algorithm for better understanding of the effect of different adjusting parameters, which were used during the tuning process, on each model outputs. Results indicated that cross-association energy between asphaltene and heavy component (HC), self-association energy of asphaltene, and binary interaction coefficient between asphaltene and CO2 are the most sensitive tuning variables for PC-SAFT, CPA, and solid models, respectively. Finally, the CPU times of various models for simulating this process were compared. This comparison showed that the PC-SAFT model has more computational time due to the involved iterative processes for phase equilibrium calculations.