Changing water chemistry in one thousand Norwegian lakes during three decades of cleaner air and climate change

Abstract

We present long-term changes in Norwegian lake water quality across regional gradients in atmospheric pollution, air temperature, hydrology, and vegetation using (a) a national representative lake survey carried out in 1995 and 2019 (ThousandLakes), and (b) an annual lake survey from acid-sensitive catchments (78 lakes, TrendLakes) from 1990 to 2020. Our analysis encompasses all major chemical constituents, for example, anions and cations, dissolved organic matter (DOM), nutrients, iron (Fe), and silicate (SiO2). During these decades, environmental changes included declines in sulfur (S) and nitrogen (N) deposition, climate warming, and increase in forest biomass. Strong chemical recovery from acidification is found, attributed to large reductions in atmospheric deposition, moderated by catchment processing from land use and climate change. Browning counteracted chemical recovery in some regions, while Ca increased unexpectedly. We suggest that increased weathering, from enhanced terrestrial productivity, is an important driver of increased Ca—substantiated by widespread, substantial increases in SiO2. Light- and nutrient-limitation has become more prevalent, indicated by higher DOM, lower nitrate (NO3), and lower NO3to total phosphorous ratios. Declines in lake NO3 occurred independently of N deposition, suggesting increased catchment N retention, possibly from increased terrestrial productivity. We conclude that decreased air pollution continues to be a dominant driver of long-term trends in lake chemistry, but climate-induced increase in terrestrial weathering processes, governed by increased biomass, is likely to have an increasing impact on future lake acidity, nutrient, and light status, that may cascade along the aquatic continuum from rivers to the coast.